Trapani 107-99 Trentino, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Trapani beat Trentino 107-99, but Trentino's shots were worth 85.4 points to Trapani's 83.4.

Trapani 107-99 Trentino, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trapani	70	94	71.6	13/16	11.8	107	83.4
Trentino	63	83	71.0	16/18	14.4	99	85.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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