Varese 94-92 Milano, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Varese beat Milano 94-92, and Varese's shots were worth 91.4 points to Milano's 81.9.

Varese 94-92 Milano, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	72	73	73.3	21/23	18.2	94	91.4
Milano	66	66	58.6	26/28	23.2	92	81.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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