Cremona 83-95 Milano, November 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Milano beat Cremona 95-83, but Cremona's shots were worth 78.9 points to Milano's 77.9.

Cremona 83-95 Milano, November 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cremona	59	72	68.6	11/14	10.3	83	78.9
Milano	56	81	64.5	14/16	13.4	95	77.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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