Scafati 94-85 Varese, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Scafati beat Varese 94-85, but Varese's shots were worth 95.5 points to Scafati's 94.6.

Scafati 94-85 Varese, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Scafati778282.112/1612.59494.6
Varese767583.410/1612.18595.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.