Cremona 89-100 Brescia, November 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Brescia beat Cremona 100-89, but Cremona's shots were worth 82.2 points to Brescia's 70.2.

Cremona 89-100 Brescia, November 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cremona607668.813/1813.38982.2
Brescia548455.316/1914.910070.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.