Cremona 69-74 Bologna, October 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Bologna beat Cremona 74-69, but Cremona's shots were worth 82.3 points to Bologna's 76.5.

Cremona 69-74 Bologna, October 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cremona	64	52	67.3	17/20	15.0	69	82.3
Bologna	52	55	61.0	19/20	15.5	74	76.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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