Varese 102-95 Pistoia, October 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Varese beat Pistoia 102-95, and Varese's shots were worth 104.7 points to Pistoia's 89.7.

Varese 102-95 Pistoia, October 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	67	75	79.6	27/32	25.1	102	104.7
Pistoia	64	82	75.1	13/19	14.6	95	89.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.