Trentino 106-100 Varese, October 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Trentino beat Varese 106-100, but Varese's shots were worth 108.4 points to Trentino's 106.2.

Trentino 106-100 Varese, October 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trentino	72	78	81.9	28/32	24.4	106	106.2
Varese	74	78	86.0	22/29	22.4	100	108.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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