Cremona 74-77 Reggio Emilia, October 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Reggio Emilia beat Cremona 77-74, but Cremona's shots were worth 86.4 points to Reggio Emilia's 79.6.

Cremona 74-77 Reggio Emilia, October 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cremona	64	55	68.8	19/24	17.5	74	86.4
Reggio Emilia	67	66	67.3	11/16	12.4	77	79.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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