OLY 92-81 ARI, game 95 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat ARI 92-81, but ARI's shots were worth 89.7 points to OLY's 76.4.

OLY 92-81 ARI, game 95 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLY	61	79	63.1	13/17	13.3	92	76.4
ARI	79	76	84.4	5/7	5.3	81	89.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.