ΑΕΚ 64-74 PER, game 93 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PER beat ΑΕΚ 74-64, but ΑΕΚ's shots were worth 89.1 points to PER's 70.9.

ΑΕΚ 64-74 PER, game 93 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ΑΕΚ	65	49	71.0	15/24	18.1	64	89.1
PER	58	61	58.9	13/16	12.0	74	70.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.