ARI 78-55 KAR, game 91 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ARI beat KAR 78-55, and ARI's shots were worth 81.7 points to KAR's 77.9.

ARI 78-55 KAR, game 91 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ARI636567.013/2114.77881.7
KAR634367.512/1410.45577.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.