KOL 78-90 PBC, game 79 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PBC beat KOL 90-78, but KOL's shots were worth 90.0 points to PBC's 85.6.

KOL 78-90 PBC, game 79 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
KOL	67	63	72.8	15/24	17.2	78	90.0
PBC	70	81	76.6	9/12	9.0	90	85.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.