ΑΕΚ 83-74 MAR, game 78 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ΑΕΚ beat MAR 83-74, and ΑΕΚ's shots were worth 79.5 points to MAR's 79.2.

ΑΕΚ 83-74 MAR, game 78 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ΑΕΚ	53	61	57.4	22/29	22.2	83	79.5
MAR	62	61	67.4	13/16	11.8	74	79.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.