PAO 92-81 MAR, game 65 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PAO beat MAR 92-81, but MAR's shots were worth 89.2 points to PAO's 85.6.

PAO 92-81 MAR, game 65 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAO	62	79	71.5	13/19	14.1	92	85.6
MAR	65	62	72.9	19/21	16.3	81	89.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.