PER 78-75 ARI, game 62 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PER beat ARI 78-75, and PER's shots were worth 83.0 points to ARI's 81.4.

PER 78-75 ARI, game 62 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PER	63	65	70.6	13/17	12.4	78	83.0
ARI	62	58	65.5	17/21	15.8	75	81.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.