PAO 92-85 KAR, game 61 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PAO beat KAR 92-85, but KAR's shots were worth 79.5 points to PAO's 75.8.

PAO 92-85 KAR, game 61 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAO	59	80	63.9	12/16	12.0	92	75.8
KAR	64	76	70.3	9/12	9.2	85	79.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.