ΑΕΚ 82-76 ARI, game 58 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ΑΕΚ beat ARI 82-76, and ΑΕΚ's shots were worth 85.0 points to ARI's 74.6.

ΑΕΚ 82-76 ARI, game 58 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ΑΕΚ	55	57	60.3	25/33	24.7	82	85.0
ARI	63	65	65.6	11/11	9.0	76	74.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.