PAN 107-105 KAR, game 43 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat KAR 107-105, but KAR's shots were worth 116.8 points to PAN's 108.5.

PAN 107-105 KAR, game 43 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	80	89	89.0	18/27	19.5	107	108.5
KAR	89	90	100.7	15/22	16.1	105	116.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.