OLY 100-93 ΑΕΚ, game 40 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat ΑΕΚ 100-93, and OLY's shots were worth 93.2 points to ΑΕΚ's 81.2.

OLY 100-93 ΑΕΚ, game 40 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OLY657772.623/2720.610093.2
ΑΕΚ607564.918/2116.29381.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.