PER 80-78 MAR, game 38 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PER beat MAR 80-78, and PER's shots were worth 98.8 points to MAR's 84.2.

PER 80-78 MAR, game 38 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PER	65	62	79.4	18/26	19.4	80	98.8
MAR	65	64	69.1	14/20	15.1	78	84.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.