PAO 82-77 ARI, game 31 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAO beat ARI 82-77, and PAO's shots were worth 83.2 points to ARI's 76.1.

PAO 82-77 ARI, game 31 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAO	68	70	70.7	12/17	12.6	82	83.2
ARI	62	69	68.3	8/10	7.8	77	76.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.