ΑΕΚ 76-78 PBC, game 27 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. PBC beat ΑΕΚ 78-76, but ΑΕΚ's shots were worth 84.0 points to PBC's 79.2.

ΑΕΚ 76-78 PBC, game 27 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ΑΕΚ	61	57	65.6	19/24	18.4	76	84.0
PBC	67	64	67.2	14/16	12.0	78	79.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.