IRA 86-71 KOL, game 26 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. IRA beat KOL 86-71, but KOL's shots were worth 84.8 points to IRA's 84.5.

IRA 86-71 KOL, game 26 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IRA	64	68	66.3	18/25	18.2	86	84.5
KOL	66	54	64.6	17/28	20.1	71	84.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.