PAO 91-70 PRO, game 18 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAO beat PRO 91-70, and PAO's shots were worth 98.3 points to PRO's 66.3.

PAO 91-70 PRO, game 18 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAO	68	66	75.9	25/30	22.4	91	98.3
PRO	61	65	62.1	5/6	4.3	70	66.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.