MAR 81-100 OLY, game 12 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat MAR 100-81, but MAR's shots were worth 85.8 points to OLY's 84.3.

MAR 81-100 OLY, game 12 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAR	63	66	70.0	15/22	15.8	81	85.8
OLY	62	84	71.5	16/17	12.8	100	84.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.