ΑΕΚ 77-62 KAR, game 10 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ΑΕΚ beat KAR 77-62, and ΑΕΚ's shots were worth 79.5 points to KAR's 70.2.

ΑΕΚ 77-62 KAR, game 10 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ΑΕΚ575962.018/2317.57779.5
KAR565458.08/1712.26270.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.