KAR 91-77 ARIS, game 7 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. KAR beat ARIS 91-77, and KAR's shots were worth 84.9 points to ARIS's 78.8.

KAR 91-77 ARIS, game 7 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
KAR647569.316/2115.69184.9
ARIS666670.011/128.87778.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.