ΑΕΚ 93-73 PAN, game 6 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

No. ΑΕΚ beat PAN 93-73, but PAN's shots were worth 79.3 points to ΑΕΚ's 78.7.

ΑΕΚ 93-73 PAN, game 6 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ΑΕΚ606857.525/2821.19378.7
PAN736472.09/107.37379.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.