ARI 65-73 KOL, game 3 of 2025-26

Did the better shots win?

Yes. KOL beat ARI 73-65, and KOL's shots were worth 76.0 points to ARI's 74.3.

ARI 65-73 KOL, game 3 of 2025-26: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	51	48	54.9	17/25	19.4	65	74.3
KOL	60	54	59.9	19/22	16.1	73	76.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Greek Basket League games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.