SIA 74-71 LLI, September 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. SIA beat LLI 74-71, but LLI's shots were worth 86.1 points to SIA's 69.3.

SIA 74-71 LLI, September 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SIA495550.519/2518.87469.3
LLI615063.621/3122.57186.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.