PAO 87-78 ULM, October 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAO beat ULM 87-78, and PAO's shots were worth 89.9 points to ULM's 78.0.

PAO 87-78 ULM, October 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAO505553.832/4936.18789.9
ULM596963.59/2014.57878.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.