No. NAP beat BUR 105-101, but BUR's shots were worth 89.3 points to NAP's 86.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP | 73 | 89 | 68.6 | 16/25 | 18.3 | 105 | 86.9 |
| BUR | 76 | 85 | 73.6 | 16/20 | 15.7 | 101 | 89.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.