BUR 90-85 BUD, October 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUR beat BUD 90-85, and BUR's shots were worth 85.6 points to BUD's 82.7.

BUR 90-85 BUD, October 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BUR677470.616/2015.09085.6
BUD667268.613/1914.28582.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.