LLI 76-81 FRA, October 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. FRA beat LLI 81-76, but LLI's shots were worth 80.0 points to FRA's 71.7.

LLI 76-81 FRA, October 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLI676367.413/1712.67680.0
FRA606656.815/2015.08171.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.