No. ARI beat LEM 87-74, but LEM's shots were worth 97.5 points to ARI's 94.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 72 | 59 | 81.7 | 15/21 | 15.8 | 74 | 97.5 |
| ARI | 68 | 69 | 79.2 | 18/20 | 15.2 | 87 | 94.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.