BGS 84-85 JER, October 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JER beat BGS 85-84, and JER's shots were worth 81.8 points to BGS's 80.0.

BGS 84-85 JER, October 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BGS586462.320/2417.78480.0
JER666969.216/1712.78581.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.