LLI 89-77 TNF, October 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LLI beat TNF 89-77, and LLI's shots were worth 90.8 points to TNF's 81.4.

LLI 89-77 TNF, October 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LLI	56	61	63.8	28/36	27.0	89	90.8
TNF	56	66	66.0	11/21	15.5	77	81.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.