No. ARI beat BGS 93-80, but BGS's shots were worth 95.1 points to ARI's 94.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 67 | 72 | 71.8 | 21/29 | 22.2 | 93 | 94.0 |
| BGS | 73 | 66 | 76.6 | 14/25 | 18.5 | 80 | 95.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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