ULM 98-84 BLK, September 30, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat BLK 98-84, but BLK's shots were worth 80.3 points to ULM's 73.3.

ULM 98-84 BLK, September 30, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM628962.49/1510.99873.3
BLK697668.08/1712.38480.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.