BOU 88-73 BUD, December 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOU beat BUD 88-73, and BOU's shots were worth 78.4 points to BUD's 75.8.

BOU 88-73 BUD, December 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOU627363.415/2014.98878.4
BUD555757.516/2518.37375.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.