NIO 89-86 NIN, October 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NIO beat NIN 89-86, and NIO's shots were worth 90.9 points to NIN's 76.8.

NIO 89-86 NIN, October 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NIO	74	76	78.1	13/17	12.7	89	90.9
NIN	63	73	62.1	13/20	14.7	86	76.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.