NIN 63-87 TTK, December 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TTK beat NIN 87-63, but NIN's shots were worth 78.3 points to TTK's 75.4.

NIN 63-87 TTK, December 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIN645164.612/1813.66378.3
TTK526149.926/3425.68775.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.