TTK 93-96 ULM, September 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat TTK 96-93, but TTK's shots were worth 101.5 points to ULM's 91.2.

TTK 93-96 ULM, September 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TTK586369.030/4332.593101.5
ULM698174.915/2216.49691.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.