NIN 71-84 BUD, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BUD beat NIN 84-71, but NIN's shots were worth 75.2 points to BUD's 74.0.

NIN 71-84 BUD, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIN635458.517/2216.67175.2
BUD566555.019/2619.08474.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.