LLI 59-86 BUD, October 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUD beat LLI 86-59, and BUD's shots were worth 73.8 points to LLI's 73.0.

LLI 59-86 BUD, October 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LLI	65	55	66.2	4/11	6.8	59	73.0
BUD	61	72	61.0	14/18	12.8	86	73.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.