BUD 82-79 BES, November 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUD beat BES 82-79, and BUD's shots were worth 71.0 points to BES's 64.0.

BUD 82-79 BES, November 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BUD566454.318/2316.78271.0
BES596855.611/118.47964.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.