BOU 85-82 NIN, November 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOU beat NIN 85-82, and BOU's shots were worth 87.6 points to NIN's 82.2.

BOU 85-82 NIN, November 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOU	59	59	62.8	26/33	24.8	85	87.6
NIN	63	65	66.4	17/21	15.8	82	82.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.