ULM 87-86 LLI, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULM beat LLI 87-86, and ULM's shots were worth 80.3 points to LLI's 73.1.

ULM 87-86 LLI, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM596661.121/2519.38780.3
LLI607461.812/1611.48673.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.