BAH 82-90 JER, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JER beat BAH 90-82, but BAH's shots were worth 98.8 points to JER's 95.0.

BAH 82-90 JER, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAH756883.714/2015.18298.8
JER687380.917/1814.19095.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.